Afternoon Note
There’s an old saying, TMI, or too much information, which is how it feels today with the avalanche of economic data. The most anticipated was the PCE release, which came in largely as expected, but it must be noted that the so-called super core PCE (core service ex-housing) came in sizzling.
On the other end of the spectrum was consumer spending, which was up only 0.2%, while personal incomes rocketed up 1.0%, way ahead of consensus of +0.3%.
Adjusted for inflation - real consumer spending was negative with huge declines in motor vehicles and durable goods.
Then there’s initial jobless claims and continuing jobless claims. The latter cracked above 1.9 million.
Pending Home Sales were -4.9% vs. the consensus +1.5%, and the prior month was revised to +5.7% from the initial read +8.3%.
Leading up to today, the Fed was singing from the same hymn sheet – higher for longer.
Now Bostic says rate cuts this summer would be appropriate.
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5/1/2024 1:22 PM | Which Powell? |
5/1/2024 9:40 AM | MAY DAY, MAY DAY, MAY DAY |
4/30/2024 1:02 PM | Complete Flop |
4/30/2024 9:48 AM | CHIPS TAKE THE LEAD |
4/29/2024 1:39 PM | Musk Rides Back to the Mag Seven |
4/29/2024 9:50 AM | DIE BY THE SWORD, PROSPER BY THE SWORD |
4/26/2024 1:46 PM | Full Steam |
4/26/2024 9:39 AM | BIG TECH STEPS UP |
4/25/2024 1:16 PM | Don't' Bury me, Yet! |
4/25/2024 9:27 AM | THERE CAN ONLY BE ONE |
4/24/2024 1:30 PM | Earnings Flood In |
4/24/2024 9:26 AM | BUYING THE DIP |
4/23/2024 1:25 PM | Bloom Off Rose |
4/23/2024 9:32 AM | WHAT HAPPENED TO THE BRAVADO? |
4/22/2024 1:22 PM | Pins and Needles |
4/22/2024 9:30 AM | LIVE BY THE SWORD … |
4/19/2024 1:20 PM | Fair Chunk of Rotation |
4/19/2024 9:35 AM | DON’T OVERREACT |
4/18/2024 1:37 PM | Didn’t Break Down |
4/18/2024 9:40 AM | MARKET OFF SCRIPT |
4/17/2024 1:59 PM | Facing Pressure |
4/17/2024 9:37 AM | POWELL STILL WANTS TO HELP |
4/16/2024 1:35 PM | Muted |
4/16/2024 9:42 AM | FEAR ARRIVES |
4/15/2024 1:17 PM | Making a Statement |
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